Oscar Guinea
Email: oscar.guinea@ecipe.org
Mobile: +34 667 422 803
Areas of Expertise: European Union EU Single Market Digital Economy Services

Oscar Guinea is a Senior Economist at ECIPE.
Oscar is the author of several studies in the field of international trade, digital markets, industrial policy, and healthcare. He contributes regularly to debates on EU trade policy in newspaper articles and seminars. His research interests include globalization, technological change, economic dependencies, and European relations with the Mercosur countries. Oscar is the author of a regular column in the Spanish newspaper El País where he writes about EU trade and economic policy.
He joined ECIPE in 2018 having worked as an Economic Adviser at the Scottish Government in the Office of the Chief Economic Adviser. Prior to that, he worked for the European Commission (DG ENER) as a national expert on energy policy. Oscar has experience appraising and assessing regulation as a government economist and private consultant.
Oscar holds a MA in European Economics from the College of Europe and a MSc in Development Economics from the University of Sussex. He graduated in Economics from the University Autonoma of Madrid and was an international student in the University of Chile and the University of Macedonia.
ECIPE Policy Briefs
European Economic Security and Access to Critical Raw Materials: Trade, Diversification, and the Role of Mercosur
Access to secure and stable supply of critical raw materials (CRMs) is vital for Europe’s economic security. These raw materials, which are indispensable inputs for Europe’s modernisation, are supplied by a handful of countries. Among them, China and Russia are two of the most important European suppliers of CRMs. This dependency leaves the EU exposed to Chinese and Russian policies that may harm Europe’s economic and political interests. The European...
ECIPE Policy Briefs
If the EU was a State in the United States: Comparing Economic Growth between EU and US States
This Policy Brief is a warning call about Europe’s poor economic growth and its consequences for prosperity. The long-term trend of Gross Domestic Product per capita is crucially important but not always easy to grasp. While it’s common to compare levels of growth between countries in a single year, the reality is that it is the long-term trend that matters. An economy that grows at 3 percent per year will double in 24 years but an economy that grows at 1...
ECIPE Policy Briefs
Trade and Competitiveness: Putting the Firm at the Centre of the Analysis
The European Commission published its communication for the long-term competitiveness of the EU. Trade and Open Strategic Autonomy were among the selected policy areas that will drive EU competitiveness in the future and trade with the rest of the world as a share of EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was the selected indicator to measure progress. This Policy Brief proposes a new set of indicators that complement this and similar indicators that focus on the value...
ECIPE Policy Briefs
Strategic Autonomy and the Competitiveness of Europe’s Innovative Pharmaceutical Sector: A Wake-up Call
It is high time for Europe to break its relative decline in the pharmaceutical sector. Europe used to be the preeminent region in the world for Research and Development and innovation in the sector – being the location for a majority of R&D and the development of new medicines. However, its competitiveness has been going down for several decades – and, in more recent time, the pace of the decline is now accelerating. Europe is not just outpaced by the...
Media Mention
EU’s green rules clash with trade goals as India talks resume
Oscar Guinea comments in Bloomberg about the latest EU trade policy agreements and defensive trade instruments (behind...
Media Mention
Europe’s economy lags behind the United States
Oscar Guinea interviewed by Korean newspaper Chosun Ilbo about the state of the EU economy (in...
Media Mention
Union européenne cherche partenaires commerciaux
Oscar Guinea comments in L'Opinion about the EU's attempts to negotiate and close trade agreements (in French and behind the...
Media Mention
How poor are Europeans?
Oscar Guinea is interviewed by Foljeton in relation to the ECIPE study comparing EU and US GDP per capita (in...
Article
Quality against quantity: the challenge of the Spanish economy
Oscar Guinea writes an opinion piece in El País about the main challenge of the Spanish economy: its stagnant productivity (in Spanish and behind...
Article
Strength Through Unity
Oscar Guinea writes an opinion piece in El País about the EU-Mercosur Association Agreement and what it needs to happen for the agreement to be...
Article
The urban legend of the EU’s digital economy reposted in Greek
Philipp Lamprecht and Oscar Guinea ECIPE blog post about the EU digital economy reposted by Greek newspaper,...
Article
Why the D9+ Group should provide stronger leadership in European digital policy
Oscar Guinea and Philipp Lamprecht published a blog post about EU digital competitiveness and the role for the D9+ countries for the Real Instituto...
Book or Paper
Open Strategic Autonomy: new tools for a geopolitical world
Oscar Guinea writes a chapter on the latest issue of "Información Comercial Española" published by the Spanish Ministry of Industry, Commerce, and...
Book or Paper
Exporting Distortions: Chinese Industrial Policy and the European Response
Oscar Guinea writes a chapter on China industrial policy and the European response on CIDOB's monography China's geoeconomic strategy and its...
Book or Paper
The DMA, the DSA and the new AI regulation: Mapping the economic consequences of new digital regulations in Central and Eastern Europe
Oscar Guinea co-authors a study exploring the impacts of the EU DMA, DSA, and AI regulation in Central and Eastern...
Book or Paper
International EU27 pharmaceutical production, trade, dependencies and vulnerabilities: a factual analysis
ECIPE researchers analyse the degree of import dependency and export vulnerability of the EU pharmaceutical...
Speech or Presentation
Strategic Autonomy and the Competitiveness of Europe’s Innovative Pharmaceutical Sector: A Wake-up Call
Oscar Guinea presents at the European Confederation of Pharmaceutical Entrepreneurs...
Speech or Presentation
In Support of Market Driven Standards
Oscar Guinea presents his research on the EU New Standardisation Strategy at...
Speech or Presentation
EU Trade Dependencies
Oscar Guinea presents his research on EU trade dependencies to the European Chemical Industry...
Speech or Presentation