Oscar Guinea
Email: oscar.guinea@ecipe.org
Mobile: +34 667 422 803
Areas of Expertise: European Union EU Single Market Digital Economy Services

Oscar Guinea is a Senior Economist at ECIPE.
Oscar previously worked as an Economic Adviser at the Scottish Government in the Office of the Chief Economic Adviser on topics ranging from monetary policy to the impact of Brexit and migration on the Scottish and UK economy. He led the macroeconomic modelling team working with Computable General Equilibrium Models. Prior to that, he worked for the European Commission as a national expert on energy poverty and the impact of price deregulation in retail energy markets. Oscar has experience appraising and assessing regulation as a government economist and private consultant.
He has published articles on regional integration and the impact of trade policy on consumers.
Oscar holds a MA in European Economics from the College of Europe and a MSc in Development Economics from the University of Sussex. He graduated in Economics from the University Autonoma of Madrid and was an international student in the University of Chile and the University of Macedonia.
ECIPE Occasional Papers
The New Wave of Defensive Trade Policy Measures in the European Union: Design, Structure, and Trade Effects
This study undertakes a comprehensive review of proposed and adopted defensive trade policy instruments in the EU, with the purpose of better understanding their design, functioning, and implications. The study covers eight policy instruments at different stages of development. These are: Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI), International Procurement Instrument (IPI), Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), Foreign Subsidy Instrument (FSI), Corporate Sustainability...
ECIPE Occasional Papers
After the DMA, the DSA and the New AI regulation: Mapping the Economic Consequences of and Responses to New Digital Regulations in Europe
The European Union (EU) has pursued an ambitious agenda for regulating the digital economy, and it is now planning to establish a new package of regulations, including the Digital Markets Act (DMA), the Digital Services Act (DSA), and a new regulation of Artificial Intelligence (AI). These regulations build on an already established structure of digital and business regulations in Europe that is comparatively restrictive but that varies substantially between EU...
ECIPE Policy Briefs
Should the EU Pursue a Strategic Ginseng Policy? Trade Dependency in the Brave New World of Geopolitics
Political leaders all over the world are calling for strategic autonomy. The removal of critical trade dependencies has become a guiding principle in most policy proposals, including the EU’s new industrial strategy. In making these decisions, it is important for policymakers to understand the reasons behind why shortages of critical goods and technologies have emerged in the first place. The instruments that new policies cerate should respond to real problems,...
ECIPE Policy Briefs
When the State Becomes the Only Buyer: Monopsony in China’s Public Procurement of Medical Technology
China’s centralised state procurement policies are moving the Chinese market of medical technologies in a monopsonistic direction. A monopsony means that a single buyer exerts strong power to move the market to its favour by gradually cutting prices and setting terms for producers that are extortionary. It is equivalent to a monopoly – with the only difference being that in a monopsony, it is the single buyer that acts in a market-predatory manner. Ultimately,...
Media Mention
Price controls in Mexico
Oscar Guinea comments in El Universal on price controls in Mexico to limit inflation (in Spanish, behind the price...
Media Mention
The impact of western sanctions on Russia
Oscar Guinea comments in Le Monde about the impact of sanctions on the Russian...
Media Mention
The EU believes time will sort the shortage crisis
Oscar Guinea comments on the supply chain shortages in Europe (in Spanish)...
Media Mention
Britain’s Been Hammered by Brexit, but It Got the Vaccine Right
Oscar Guinea explains in Foreign Policy that the trade costs of Brexit will not go...
Article
Trade dependencies and geopolitics
Oscar Guinea and Vanika Sharma write an OpEd on EU trade dependencies and calls for strategic autonomy in...
Article
The market sends reinforcements
Oscar Guinea writes an opinion piece in El País (in Spanish, behind the paywall) about the role that markets play in Russia's invasion of...
Article
The Great Threat to European Trade
Oscar Guinea latest article in El País republished in Liberal Markets (in...
Article
Playing defense in EU trade policy
Oscar Guinea writes a column in El País about the latest turn towards a defensive EU trade policy and argues that Europe trade policy should be...
Book or Paper
The DMA, the DSA and the new AI regulation: Mapping the economic consequences of new digital regulations in Central and Eastern Europe
Oscar Guinea co-authors a study exploring the impacts of the EU DMA, DSA, and AI regulation in Central and Eastern...
Book or Paper
International EU27 pharmaceutical production, trade, dependencies and vulnerabilities: a factual analysis
ECIPE researchers analyse the degree of import dependency and export vulnerability of the EU pharmaceutical...
Book or Paper
Europe’s Pharmaceutical Supply Chain – Key Trade Data
In a project, ECIPE has researched the pharmaceutical supply chain of EU27 and this paper presents data on EU pharmaceutical exports and imports for...
Book or Paper
Are Services Sick? How Going Digital Can Cure Services Performance
Services make up the lion share of modern developed economies. But their productivity developments have often been lagging. In this study, we...
Speech or Presentation