Oscar Guinea
Email: oscar.guinea@ecipe.org
Mobile: +34 667 422 803
Areas of Expertise: European Union EU Single Market Digital Economy Services
Oscar Guinea is a Senior Economist at ECIPE.
Oscar is the author of several studies in the field of international trade, digital markets, industrial policy, and healthcare. He contributes regularly to debates on EU trade policy in newspaper articles and seminars. His research interests include globalisation, technological change, economic dependencies, and European relations with the Mercosur countries. Oscar is the author of a regular column in the Spanish newspaper El País where he writes about EU trade and economic policy.
He joined ECIPE in 2018 having worked as an Economic Adviser at the Scottish Government in the Office of the Chief Economic Adviser. Prior to that, he worked for the European Commission (DG ENER) as a national expert on energy policy. Oscar has experience appraising and assessing regulation as a government economist and private consultant.
Oscar holds a MA in European Economics from the College of Europe and a MSc in Development Economics from the University of Sussex. He graduated in Economics from the University Autonoma of Madrid and was an international student in the University of Chile and the University of Macedonia.
ECIPE Policy Briefs
Quantum Technology: A Policy Primer for EU Policymakers
Quantum technology is rapidly emerging as a transformative force with the potential to reshape industries ranging from finance and pharmaceuticals to automotive and aerospace. In 2024 alone, investments in quantum technology reached over USD 56 billion. Its development, however, presents unique geopolitical challenges, stemming from its applications in defence and encryption, as well as its power to unsettle established comparative advantages and market...
ECIPE Policy Briefs
The Future of European Digital Competitiveness
Former Italian prime minister Mario Draghi’s recent report on Europe’s competitiveness lays bare the negative effects of overregulation in the EU economy and the underperformance of its digital sector. However, Draghi failed to draw connections between these two phenomena. The future of Europe’s competitiveness is inextricably linked to the future of its digital economy. Unfortunately, the economic contribution of Europe’s Information and Communication...
ECIPE Policy Briefs
Securing Europe’s Future: Strengthening ICT Competitiveness for Economic and National Security
Europe’s Information and Communication Technology (ICT) sector, including ICT manufacturing such as telecom equipment and electronic components, as well as ICT services such as software, telecommunication services, and data processing, is no longer merely an economic pillar but a strategic asset essential for national security and defence capabilities. This paper identifies two concerns linking technology and national security: the exploitation of ICT as a...
ECIPE Policy Briefs
The External Side of Europe’s Great Economic Transformation: International Trade in Services
Europe’s digital transition is starting to bear fruits. Europe’s economic landscape is becoming increasingly digital, with sectors like information and communication technology (ICT) capturing a growing share of EU GDP. This Policy Brief examines the impact of these economic shifts on Europe’s trade profile and the policies that the EU can pursue to support this transformation. Disclaimer: the views expressed herein are those of the author and do not...
Media Mention
The counterattack of the South: Why Spain is growing faster than Germany and France
Oscar Guinea comments in newmoney on the performance of the Spanish economy and the reasons behind its success.
Media Mention
The Mercosur-EU agreement as a model for open decarbonisation
The article cites ECIPE Policy Brief "European Economic Security and Access to Critical Raw Materials: Trade, Diversification, and the Role of Mercosur" by Óscar Guinea and Vanika Sharma in its text.
Media Mention
Los agricultores de la UE siguen considerando al Mercosur como una amenaza
Oscar Guinea comments in Argentina's Noticias Agropecuarias about the EU-Mercosur Association Agreement and its impact on the agricultural sector.
Media Mention
UE-Mercosur, un acuerdo que afianza la seguridad geopolítica y económica de Europa
Oscar Guinea comments in the EL PAIS about the EU-Mercosur deal.
Article
Más allá del miedo: El acuerdo UE-Mercosur para la agricultura europea
Oscar Guinea wrote about the effects of the EU-Mercosur Association Agreement on agriculture in an op-ed for El Pais.
Article
¿Por qué son tan difíciles de aplicar las “cláusulas espejo” con Mercosur?
Oscar Guinea comments in EFE Agro about the use of mirror clauses in the EU-Mercosur Association Agreement.
Article
Acción y reacción en el comercio internacional
Oscar Guinea writes an opinion piece in El País about EU economic policy to prepare for Donald Trump's second term as US president.
Article
From Compliance to Constraint: How Digital Regulation Impacts Productivity and Innovation in Europe
Fredrik Erixon and Oscar Guinea publish a new article in the latest EconPol Forum by CESifo analysing the EU-US productivity gap.
Book or Paper
The EU’s Productivity Performance: Falling Behind the Curve
Fredrik Erixon, Oscar Guinea and Oscar du Roy write an article for the EconPol Forum 03/2024 Journal from CESifo based on their study "Keeping Up with the US: Why Europe’s Productivity Is Falling Behind".
Book or Paper
The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and Its Border Effects: How Can Europe Become a Better Neighbour?
First paper crafted in collaboration with Bertelsmann Stiftung focusing on CBAM.
Book or Paper
Open Strategic Autonomy: new tools for a geopolitical world
Oscar Guinea writes a chapter on the latest issue of "Información Comercial Española" published by the Spanish Ministry of Industry, Commerce, and Tourism.
Book or Paper
Exporting Distortions: Chinese Industrial Policy and the European Response
Oscar Guinea writes a chapter on China industrial policy and the European response on CIDOB's monography China's geoeconomic strategy and its implications for Europe
Speech or Presentation
Waiting for Draghi – Defining Europe’s Productivity Problem
Presentation by Oscar Guinea in the 20 June, 2024, ECIPE webinar.
Speech or Presentation
Strategic Autonomy and the Competitiveness of Europe’s Innovative Pharmaceutical Sector: A Wake-up Call
Oscar Guinea presents at the European Confederation of Pharmaceutical Entrepreneurs (EUCOPE)
Speech or Presentation
In Support of Market Driven Standards
Oscar Guinea presents his research on the EU New Standardisation Strategy at Orgalim
Speech or Presentation
EU Trade Dependencies
Oscar Guinea presents his research on EU trade dependencies to the European Chemical Industry Council.