Lucian Cernat
Lucian Cernat is the Head of Global Regulatory Cooperation and International Procurement Negotiation at the European Commission. Until 2008, he held various positions at the United Nations in Geneva dealing with trade and development issues. He has authored more than 20 publications on the development impact of trade policies, WTO negotiations, EU preferential market access, regional trade agreements, competition policy, corporate governance. Prior to his UN experience, he has been a Trade Diplomat with the Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and part of the negotiating team of bilateral FTAs with the EuroMed area and Baltic countries, preceding Romania’s accession to the EU. Lucian Cernat obtained a PhD from University of Manchester and a postgraduate diploma from Oxford University. He is also the author of Europeanization, Varieties of Capitalism and Economic Performance in Central and Eastern Europe (Palgrave Macmillan, 2006).
ECIPE Policy Briefs
On the Importance of Placebo and Nocebo Effects in International Trade
Trade agreements are powerful drivers of global economic integration, leading to increased trade flows between countries. Usually, trade agreements are extensive documents with hundreds of provisions and different levels of enforceability. Are all these provisions useful, even those that are “best endeavours” and do not introduce legally binding obligations on trading partners? This policy brief proposes a new methodological approach to evaluate these effects....
ECIPE Policy Briefs
The Gini Trade Index: What Can We Learn from A New Trade Indicator?
This Policy Brief introduces the Gini Trade Index (GTI) as a new trade synthetic key performance indicator capable of capturing the different distribution of trade values across firm characteristics and across countries. The new indicator replicates the well-known features of the traditional Gini Index, a widely used metric for the skewness of several socioeconomic indicators, in particular income inequality. The Policy Brief calculates the Gini Trade Index for all...
ECIPE Policy Briefs
The Art of the Mini-Deals: The Invisible Part of EU Trade Policy
Trade policy is usually defined by the kinds of deals it can strike. Typically, the attention is focussed either on big multilateral trade rounds or on bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs). This policy brief goes beyond the conventional wisdom and sheds light on other trade agreements (trade mini-deals), which so far were less in the focus of EU trade experts and academics. The paper offers a preliminary assessment and a taxonomy of these trade mini-deals. The...
ECIPE Policy Briefs
Trade and Competitiveness: Putting the Firm at the Centre of the Analysis
The European Commission published its communication for the long-term competitiveness of the EU. Trade and Open Strategic Autonomy were among the selected policy areas that will drive EU competitiveness in the future and trade with the rest of the world as a share of EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was the selected indicator to measure progress. This Policy Brief proposes a new set of indicators that complement this and similar indicators that focus on the value...
Media Mention
The Art of the Mini-Deals: The Invisible Part of EU Trade Policy
Lucian Cernat latest Policy Brief quoted in the Financial Times (behind the...
Media Mention
The IMF is under pressure but on a mission
Lucian Cernat's ECIPE study The Art of the Mini-Deals Policy Brief cited in the Financial...
Media Mention
Dependency of Spanish Imports
ECIPE blog methodology to measure trade dependency replicated for...
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Speech or Presentation
Mini deals
Lucian Cernat talks about trade mini deals in the 26 June episode of the Trade Bites...